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World Series- Game Three

Posted by Brad on October 27, 2007

Allright, we’ve got a big game tonight, Game Three of the World Series as the series shifts over to chilly Denver (why didn’t they put on a roof?).  Daisuke Matsuzaka will be taking the bump against Rockies righty Josh Fogg (add the extra “g” for Game Three loser [sorry, there’s nothing better with a “g”]).  Josh Fogg has a 1.13 ERA in the postseason while Dice-K has a 5.65 ERA in the postseason.

I am worried for Dice-K in this particular matchup (what else is new?).  He has never pitched in such thin air before, and so I expect him to struggle in the early innings as he tries to adjust to that and the temperature.  The Rockies batters are used to this, and so I expect them to hit him (to an extent…).  I would expect to see Javier Lopez used for a couple innings, as he used to pitch for Colorado and is used to the weather.  I think he’ll be able to pitch well.

As for Fogg, I think he will pitch pretty well.  Since he isn’t exactly an ace (he ALMOST wasn’t the game three starter), I don’t think he will completely shut down the Sox bats.  But, I expect the Sox, who have only had been there a few days, to have some troubles.  But, overall, Fogg will pitch fairly well and give the Rockies a fighters chance to win the game (but remember, the extra “g” doesn’t stand for great…).

You’ll notice I am talking about the weather a lot.  Well, if you ask any doctor, they’ll tell you that it is much harder to breathe if you are not used to it.  This is why I think the Sox could struggle in Denver.  This team has a legitamate home-field advantage, not just the fans.  They had one of the best home records in all of baseball, and that is not a surprise, as they should.

The Sox bats will be quieter than in the first game, similar to Game Two.  I think they’ll be able to get 3-4 runs across, but that is it.  I DO think Manny is going to have a big night (obviously) and Big Papi is not (see below).  I think Pedroia is going to get on base and give Papi the chance to drive in runs, but he’ll leave them stranded.  J.D. Drew is finally going to cool off (it’s just a matter of time) and Julio Lugo is actually going to play well (gotta love the bold predictions).

The Rockies bats are going to enjoy being back at Coors.  This team will be re-energized by the fans (and by the nippiness) and the bats will come alive, to an extent.  Matt (it’s a) Holliday is going to play well and drive in a couple, while Todd Helton will to the same.  I think Yorvit Torrealba is also going to break out of his funk, as he bats a much higher average at home than away.  Unfortunately (for the Rockies), these are going to be the only guys hitting.

All right, I mentioned David Ortiz earlier, and how he is going to have a slow night.  Well, here is why I think Terry Francona should have stuck with Kevin Youkilis at first base as we go into the NL park.  Kevin Youkilis has a higher batting average, more RBI and more HR in the playoffs so far.  Also, I think it is clear that ‘Youk is in better athletic shape than Big Papi.  So, Big Papi is going to have a harder time breathing that Youkilis (no offense, David).  I would rather see Ortiz come in as a late inning pinch-hitter than risk it.  I realize he is one of the greatest clutch performers ever (see, I can be nice, too), but ‘Youk deserves to be in there.  So Terry, I’ll go for it for one game, but David better perform in these three games (or if we lose, “you’re fired”).

Obviously, if we win this game, the series is pretty much over (unless the Rockies pull a Red Sox).  I think Dice-K and Fogg are going to pitch pretty much equally in this game, and it is going to come down to the bats.  The Sox bats are just going to play better than the Rockies tonight.  I’d love to pick the Rockies in this game, but there is a reason why I called this blog “bosoxfriends” (’cause I love the Sox, for you idiots out there), and I predict the Sox will beat the Rockies in a close one, by a final of 4-3.  I wouldn’t be surprised if this one goes into extras (which would stink for me, ’cause I have church in the morning) but we’ll pull it out in the end.

Also, Jacoby Ellsbury will be at the top of the lineup tonight, instead of Dustin Pedroia.  I like this move because Ellsbury es my rapido (very fast, a little espanol).  He can make stuff happen at the top of the order, and don’t think we’ll regret this mistake.

And, I’ve neglected to talk about the Bruins as of late, and so lets talk about their game today against the Flyers, shall we (not really a question, because I’m the writer)?  They lost to the flyers this afternoon by a score of 2-1.  The Bruins record fell to a solid 6-4-0, while the Flyers improved to 7-3-0.  The Bruins got their goal from Marco Sturm, while the Flyers got their goals from Joffery Lupul and Mike Richards.

Tim Thomas played well in this game, recording 26 saves and giving up only the two goals.  But, he was outplayed by veteran Martin Biron.  No-one expected the Bruins to continue playing at the level they had been playing at near the beginning of the season, and I think they have begun their fall from grace (if they ever had grace), as they have lost two of the last three games.  I don’t think they will malke the playoffs, but will (hopefully) stay in the hun the whole way.  I hope I am wrong (honestly, I am a B’s fan, but it’s so easy to make fun of them), but I don’t think they can do it.  Sorry fellow Bostonians.

By the way, I would like to apologize for telling you guys the OSU-PSU game was last night.  Try to keep an eye on that game TONIGHT.

Talk at ‘ya later.

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